The Mount-Milner test in 1965 was a study of behavioral modeling effects on divers and their suceptibility to narcosis. It found that divers who expected to become narced did, some as shallow as 60ft. While those who were trained that it narcosis could be overcome performed well on mental and dexterity tasks to depths to 240 ft.
The study also showed that adaptation occurred during the course fo the study. Dr. Peter Bennett also found that frequency of exposure to deep diving does lead to adaptation in a 1990 study, although the physical mechanisim through which this occurrs is still unknown.
What is also very important about the Mount-Milner study is that through the use of three separate control groups it measured the effect that a diver's exectations to become impaired has on the degree to which they are actually impaired by narcosis. This effect has played a role in confouding many studies that have been completed since.
I have read one study in particular that found that all divers are impaired to some degree by narcosis at depths as shallow as 60 ft. However, this study was, in my opinion, confounded by participant bias in that the participants knew what was being studied and knew what the hypothesis was (ie, that all divers suffer some degree of impairment at 60 ft. In other studies it is less obvious and the effect is due only to the training the divers received before being selected to participate in the study. The fact of the matter is that most divers trained today are conditioned to believe that narcosis is a serious problem below 100-130 ft. and as you point out, that those who think they can perform well at depth are mistaken. These beliefs form what is in essence participant bias and affect the subjects perfomance on the tests at depth. Researchers seeking to prove the debilitating effects of narcosis at relatively shallow depths can also intorduce the potential for experimenter bias that can further confound the data recorded during the trials.
Consequently, I think it would be very interesting to perform mental and dexterity testing on experimental groups of divers who are 1)ignorant of their actual depth and 2) mislead as to being both shallower and 3) deeper than their actual depth in addition to replicating the behavioral modeling aspects of the Mount-Milner test on new student divers with no prior knowledge or expectations regarding narcosis.
Any volunteers