Tropical Storm Matthew

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DandyDon

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It may not amount to much, but then one develops inside the playground - it bears watching. Current computer guesses suggest possible landfall on the Honduras, Belize, Cuba, subject to change...

at201095_model.gif
 
Just so long as Mother Nature gets it all out of her system before November.....
 
Now upgraded to Tropical Depression Fifteen with forecast to make hurricane strength this weekend and maybe head up the coast from Honduras, by Belize, then the Yucatan peninsula - subject to change. That would be a low grade hurricane but a worst location path...!

Edit: His new name is Tropical Storm Matthew

New Edit: Now expected to make Cat-1 Friday before skirting the coast of Honduras, lose & regain strength, and head inland over Belize maybe - but the Zone of Hate if kinda flexible over the Yucatan. Time will tell...

at201015_5day.gif
 
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A couple of reports on the Bay Islands forum say that Anthony's Key Resort evacuated everyone (kicked them out) Friday morning and closed. :idk:

Matt never made Cat-1 before landing and is now not expected to. Looks like heavy rains with threats of flooding and mudslides on mainland mountain. This is ominous tho, from Dr.Masters with my emphasis...
Long range forecast for Matthew
Matthew is being forced just north of due west by a strong ridge of high pressure. This ridge will keep the storm moving at 15 mph through Saturday. On Sunday, a trough of low pressure diving southwards over the Eastern U.S. will weaken the steering currents over the Western Caribbean and cause Matthew to slow to just 5 mph by Sunday night. Most of the models now show Matthew lingering over Central America long enough to dissipate. However, by Wednesday of next week, most of the models indicate that remnants of Matthew, and/or a piece of a tropical disturbance over the Eastern Pacific off the coast of Guatemala, will move into the Western Caribbean and develop into a tropical depression. The trough of low pressure over the Eastern U.S. is then likely to draw this system northwards across Cuba late next week into either Florida or the Bahamas. Whether this development would be called Matthew or Nicole is uncertain, as is the potential strength of such a storm. We'll just have to wait and see what unfolds over the next few days.
 

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Yeah Matthew v2.0 or Nicole could be a major storm that makes landfall on the US and causes a lot of damage.

Of course we've had a lot of storms with scary-looking formation and predicted tracks fail to develop this year.

Not time to panic yet...
 
Yeah Matthew v2.0 or Nicole could be a major storm that makes landfall on the US and causes a lot of damage.

Of course we've had a lot of storms with scary-looking formation and predicted tracks fail to develop this year.

Not time to panic yet...
Not time for any considerations yet; just interesting how the two formations are being considered for a northern run. When I was a kid, a popular quote often heard was "Everyone talks about the weather but no one does anything about it" or something like that. At least now we try to predict changes better and allow for them appropriately, yet so often surprised. Igor threatened the Caribbean, then Bermuda, but did his worst in Newfoundland. Karl gave Cozumel a break but ended up causing major flooding in the US Midwest. It's stories like this that remind me why I don't gamble.
 
Ol' Matt is so flaky but as weak as he is, it's hard to say which way he is trying to go next. Currently headed west as if to hook up with the Pacific system, but I doubt that he survives the terrain.
 
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