lamont
Contributor
That eddy is over 90W, 25N and HWRF, GFDL and UKMET all take it over that eddy right now.
Gustav Looks at Northern Caribbean - Keep the shutters up
- Thread starter DandyDon
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lamont
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the models are starting to shift it north earlier now and take it over cuba. that might tear it up quite a bit and miss the warm eddy.
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If Cuba has big hills where it crosses, it'll take some spunk out. Plane is going out today to look...
This morning's forecast is nasty, slowing the storm's arrival in Louisiana by nearly a day, while keeping the eye over water all the way to the Gulf coast... and putting Grand Cayman right in the northeastern eye-wall as it passes there.
Not good...
Rick
Not good...
Rick
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Veering a little closer to Cozumel, Cancun and Holbox it seems....
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lamont
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back up to hurricane strength and getting bigger and sucking up energy from warm water.
check out this comment:
Wunder Blog : Weather Underground
"It's time to leave New Orleans
Today is the 3rd anniversary of Hurricane Katrina's catastrophic hit on the Louisiana/Mississippi/Alabama coast. Unfortunately, I think that people living in New Orleans should mark the anniversary of Katrina by getting the heck out of the city. You live at the bottom of a bowl, ten or so feet below sea level. This is not natural. Nature wants to fill up this bowl with huge quantities of Gulf of Mexico sea water. There is a storm capable of doing that bearing down on you. If you live in New Orleans, I suggest you take a little Labor Day holiday--sooner, rather than later, to beat the rush--and get out of town. Gustav is going to come close to you, and there's no sense messing with a major hurricane capable of pushing a Category 3 storm surge to your doorstep."
Although he later gives only a 10% chance of hurricane force winds hitting NOLA.
check out this comment:
Wunder Blog : Weather Underground
"It's time to leave New Orleans
Today is the 3rd anniversary of Hurricane Katrina's catastrophic hit on the Louisiana/Mississippi/Alabama coast. Unfortunately, I think that people living in New Orleans should mark the anniversary of Katrina by getting the heck out of the city. You live at the bottom of a bowl, ten or so feet below sea level. This is not natural. Nature wants to fill up this bowl with huge quantities of Gulf of Mexico sea water. There is a storm capable of doing that bearing down on you. If you live in New Orleans, I suggest you take a little Labor Day holiday--sooner, rather than later, to beat the rush--and get out of town. Gustav is going to come close to you, and there's no sense messing with a major hurricane capable of pushing a Category 3 storm surge to your doorstep."
Although he later gives only a 10% chance of hurricane force winds hitting NOLA.
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A major jump to Cat-4 now going for Cat-5. Tough one for western Cuba. Projections for Louisiana into Texas suggest seeking high ground ASAP whether the windows are covered are not. If he does hit that cold eddy, that could weaken him a little, but still a major threat for the lowlands. A couple of models project him turning left and heading down the coast. :11: Talk about worst case scenarios - just nearly!
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A quick question. . . do you think Hanna is impacting Gustav in any way. . .or is she too far away? Just wondering.
Also, it looks like the computer models are ALL UP IN THE AIR as far as where Hanna is headed!
Tropical Storm: Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts : Weather Underground
what would we do w/o DandyDon and his hurricane info! Take care, Maggi
Also, it looks like the computer models are ALL UP IN THE AIR as far as where Hanna is headed!
Tropical Storm: Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts : Weather Underground
what would we do w/o DandyDon and his hurricane info! Take care, Maggi
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