Hank49
Contributor
archman:Monotype viral outbreaks occurring on mariculturally-cultivated species represent the very simplest of research environments. It's essentially a big laboratory experiment. Scaling up for even partial wild ecological surveying... you're talking about well over an order of magnitude of both cost and staffing. And I know those Taura studies weren't cheap. Monotype mariculture ops are not conducive to natural viral evolution, either. Expect to see a heck of a lot more strains in the wild. It's not the presence of waterborne viruses in the water column that is damaging to other organisms, but the abundance of particular strains. Viruses are a natural constituent of the nano/pico-plankton, and have always been so. It's frequency and intensity of bloom outbreaks that are alarming. Mariculture ops by their very design are a virus strains dream come true, representing environs that should only very rarely occur in nature. The same ecological parameters that go into a mariculture operation are those indicative for habitats that have recently suffered near-complete ecological catastrophe, or an extreme environment. You need a very low species diversity. Plant farms operate the same way. For both, disease is very much a valid concern. One does not normally encounter such systems in the wild.
)
I agree that viral infection is not THE cause of the reef devastation. It may or may not be a factor but I'd never heard it mentioned before so I thought I'd throw in my observations of how uncontrolled species movement across the globe was the biggest factor in spreading viral infections.
I'm not sure I agree with your statements on virus in cultured systems vs wild etc. Correct me if I'm wrong but it seems that you're saying mutation doesn't occur in the wild as it does in cultured systems. What about HIV? Are people in a cultured environment? or wild? And since there is little to no long term viral studies done on wild occuring species, theorizing that they don't mutate as fast in that case is mere speculation. The only viruses that are studied long enough to draw conclusions are mainly human born.
I DO agree with you that coral reef (as well as rain forest) environments are so complex that about all we can do is speculate. Who knows? This die off since 98 El Nino may be like a small forest fire. The reefs may come back stronger than we're seen before. I would love to sit and discuss this kind of topic with you. It's too hard over the Internet. thanks Archman. Hank