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from NOAA:

AFTER EARLY FRIDAY...THE FORECAST DEPENDS LARGELY ON WHAT DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. MANY OF THE MODELS ARE DEVELOPING A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THAT AREA. THEREFORE...UNCERTAINTY THE FORECAST IS HIGHER THAN NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. SINCE THERE APPEARS TO BE CONSENSUS THAT SOME TYPE OF LOW WILL BE SOMEWHERE IN THE WESTERN GULF...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SEAS BEGIN TO INCREASE BY SATURDAY. WINDS ARE FORECAST NEAR ADVISORY THRESHOLDS. MARINERS SHOULD KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...PARTICULARLY IF THEY HAVE PLANS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
 
https://www.shearwater.com/products/teric/

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