Small Storm Headed Your Way

[DandyDon]

Doesn't look like it'll be much, not much reason to change plans other than a day or two of no diving maybe. Something to keep in mind. Got rain ponchos...?

Hi everybody, this is Rob Carver, R&D Scientist for Wunderground, filling in for Jeff Masters.

Summary of the situation

In the Tropical Weather Outlook NHC has tagged a tropical wave in the NW Caribbean Sea as Invest93L and believes that it has a 30-50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. As of now (11 PM PDT, June 26), the Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate this area on June 28. The track models have Invest93L moving through the Yucatan Straits into the Gulf of Mexico. After that, most of the models take the cyclone north and east making landfall along a wide swath of Florida's Gulf Coast on Wednesday of next week. The intensity models predict that at landfall, the system will be a weak Category 1 hurricane or strong tropical storm.

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If you didn't take a poncho, a new, large garbage bag can suffice. Just cut holes for arms and head.

 

[Christi]

Doesn't look like it'll be much, not much reason to change plans other than a day or two of no diving maybe. Something to keep in mind. Got rain ponchos...?

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If you didn't take a poncho, a new, large garbage bag can suffice. Just cut holes for arms and head.

It's rain - nothing more - not even thundering, and diving is not canceled nor is it expected to be.

The thing with these weather sites now is that the mere word(s) "tropical disturbance" during official season gets people nervous. These tropical disturbance areas are nothing more than heavy showers/thunderstorms you get anywhere else in the world or that we get any other time of the year on occasion - the difference is that we are in the tropics (hence the word tropical) and they have POTENTIAL to develop into something more when conditions are right - so they need to be watched - but are no reason for alarm or travel changes. Scattered thunderstorms is all this is unless it develops - which it is not expected to. Before a few years ago, these systems weren't even worth a second glance - it's rain which we desperately need

Current conditions in Cozumel as of 10:23am local time - overcast with occasional showers and drizzle.

 

[jayjoans]

Don- Please don't now become the weather police like you were/are with that other issue that was a whole lot of nothing that starts with an S and ends with a U. Let the people of Cozumel do their best to recover economically from all of the recent damage from that trumped up mess. Posting warnings about a rain shower and speculating that diving will be cancelled doesn't help anybody, and could scare some people off for nothing.

By your own words, this thread didn't even need to be started. "Doesn't look like it'll be much, not much reason to change plans" Why even mention it?

Furthermore, do you think that the residents of Cozumel look on Scubaboard for their weather information? Who are you "warning"?

 

[scubawife]

It's summer. It's the Caribbean. Rain and "tropical systems" happen.

This time of the year the standard forecast is "partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms." And many days it's likely you'll get some rain at some point in the day or night. Not much different then summer in some parts of the US. Certainly nothing that will ruin a vacation.

Unless it's a named system and is getting mentioned on news I don't think it's worth worrying about.

 

[Lkyman]

My SI on the 17th





Had a great dive after though.

 

[scubawife]

My SI on the 17th





Had a great dive after though.

I've had some dives where we surfaced to a deluge. Calm as can be u/w until the last 10 ft or so. Made for some great video and photos. (On a night dive it is a very cool thing to see, especially if you still have moonlight shining.) No harm done. No lightning to worry about and we're already wet, right?

 

[Lkyman]

We dove Dalila after the SI, it was real choppy when we entered so I decided not to take camera and trying to get back in the boat with it. Awesome dive and calm as we surfaced, boy I regret that decision.

 

[Christi]

as of noon - it's clearing up and patches of blue sky are popping through - but yes, it could be pouring rain on the other side or down south or up north.

Scattered/isolated showers = at some point, at some time, somewhere on the island it may be raining

 

[dive pro]

The port is actually open in Coz, not in cancun for wind but we did go out in the morning, Coz. is fine to dive....great dives like always.

DANDY DON, keep the info coming, last year I remember all the info you sent when a storm was about to hit us so keep it coming it is helpful......thanks

 

[ggunn]

The port is actually open in Coz, not in cancun for wind but we did go out in the morning, Coz. is fine to dive....great dives like always.

DANDY DON, keep the info coming, last year I remember all the info you sent when a storm was about to hit us so keep it coming it is helpful......thanks

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