Dan
Contributor
@Dan Flatten the curve and raise the line go hand in hand. Raise the line refers to the total hospital bed capacity to cater for Covid-19 patients. The line is raised by increasing number of beds. You flatten the curve so that the curve is always below the line. When the curve is below the line, you have hospital capacity to treat covid-19 patients. The statistic that you need to plot the curve is the total number of active cases requiring hospitalisation.
In Malaysia all persons who test positive for covid-19 are hospitalised until they recover and have 2 negative tests 24 hours apart before they are discharged. The curve that you need to plot is therefore total infected to date less patients who have died as well as patients who have recovered and have been discharged. You will find that total active cases has been falling in Malaysia.
The curve that I showed earlier was the number of COVID-19 positive cases in Malaysia. Below are 2 curves of the cases and deaths from COVID-19 in Malaysia. The Growth Rates are now even higher (3%). The flattening of the curves that I'm talking about is when the Growth Rate drop to ZERO.
3% is not ZERO.
Do you see the curves below flattening?
I would think Malaysia is similar to Indonesia and it is still in early stage, like New York a month ago. I would like to see that curves bend down, hopefully in 3-4 weeks.
Malaysia COVID-19 Cases 3% Growth Rate (left) & Deaths 3% Growth Rate (right)