You touched on something (maybe meaning to, maybe not) that I was discussing at BTS with some folks, and that was ratios. We were trying to figure out what the drop rate was for students through their first 10 dives. I believe it to be high, but how high I don't know. How many don't feel safe, and what would it take for everyone to feel safe. My response was that ratios need to be lowered. If you are going to keep a student "safe", that student needs to be your sole focus. Then, run them through an advanced class, but for goodness sake, don't let them consider them to be advanced in any way.
I fully understand that it's hard to offer a $99 class one on one, but I wonder what the retention would be if we stopped letting our divers get scared and drop out..... I wonder what a retained diver spends versus one that stops diving on OW dive 3 or 4....
I qualified as a scuba diver in 1977 with the SAUU (South African Underwater Union) and it was tough, there was no official Naui or Padi or other affiliations here at the time and training took as long as the instructor deemed necessary. I remember clearly that for the first 20 odd hours of pool work we didn't even go near a scuba set, it was all basic water work, the instructor would throw weighted pieces of a kids building toy into the water and we had to dive down and assemble it on one breath, we cleared masks, we snorkeled, we dove and fetched things off the bottom, we swam underwater without masks, we swam without fins, we swam underwater with our buddies mask, you name it we did it, without even touching a scuba set.
This was followed by at least 6 pool sessions, (or more as deemed fit) with a scuba set where we did it all again, and again, and again, and for good measure a few more times, only then did we go to an inland dam / lake where we did no less than 5 dives in very very controlled conditions, practicing it all again, then the culmination of it all was 6 ocean dives (one dive a day) where the instructor made us do it all again, and again, and again and for good measure.....well you get the picture.
The point I am making is it wasn't easy, and it wasn't for everybody but it produced a confident diver who felt at home in the water and was more than likely to continue diving. In fact I still see two of my friends who did the course with me all those years ago and we all still actively dive to this very day.
I get that things have changed, people have less time etc etc, I get it, but I still believe the quick courses we see today is the main reason people quit the sport, they just dont feel comfortable under water.