Anti-Hero
Contributor
It is not anecdotal. If you start a dive warm and end the dive warm, normal dive tables apply. If you start a dive cold and end the dive cold, normal dive tables apply. If you start a dive warm and end the dive cold, normal dive tables do not apply. There are no special cold-water tables. Normal tables assume a rate of off-gassing which will not happen if you are cold owing to reduced perfusion (blood flow into and out of capillaries and peripheral tissues). If you were cold to begin with, you will have absorbed less N2 into your peripheral tissues (during a dive) owing to decreased perfusion. If you were warm or "normal" to begin with, you will have absorbed N2 at a normal rate as the dive progressed. However, if you subsequently became cold you will not be able to lose N2 from your peripheral tissues at the rate that tables rely upon. DCS is therefore more likely to occur. See the excellent article at http://rubicon-foundation.org/Download/Pollock/Cold_Stress_Complicates_Deco_dirQuest2003_4_1 14-16.pdf for more information.
PS - avoid the hot tub after a dive if there is a chance that you were near your NDL limit.
Safe diving!
The occurrence of DCS is a complicated matter, owing to more variables than simply temperature. Your link isn't working for me, but I'm guessing the sample size of data is inconclusive, thus again, making the data anecdotal.
As an example, I start almost all of my dives warm and end up quite a bit colder, as do most cold water divers, and I personally don't know anyone who's been bent in what cumulatively amounts to thousands of dives.