The water temp today was about 79 and it should be about 70 by mid February. So January will fall somewhere in the middle, probably towards the cooler end. Last year I was wearing a 5mm full suit over a 3mm full suit and a 1.5mm hooded vest. Right now I'm wearing a 5mm and 6/4 hooded vest. Staff will be wearing between 5mm and 10mm that time of the year, some in semi-dries.
Like Dan said, its not the water temp nearly as much as the surface interval. Windbreaker would be highly recommended.
And Dan-
Missed you at the dock today, but saw Pete's shot of you. And there is one really great alternative to thickening neoprene: drysuit.