This is sort of where the fallacy of conservatism comes into play (liberal vs conservative computer algorithms, tables, etc.). Your personal level of DCS is entirely independent from what a computer or a table says it should be. You may require a much more conservative profile in order to prevent DCS, or you may be able to exceed "NDL's" without issue. In the second case, the NDL clearly isn't, and your NDL for a 30m dive may be completely different from someone else's.
What PADI has done is exactly what boulderjohn says, and you need to decide if you want to play in their sandbox or not. What will happen, and what you should do, is entirely dependent on your own personal physiology. If you are prone to DCS, missing that safety stop could be an issue, and really, since that line-in-the-sand may change day-to-day and dive-to-dive, there's really no good way to give any sort of definitive answer other than "err on the side of caution."
Now, to make the issue even more confusing, Mark Powell, in his book "Deco for Divers," which I highly recommend EVERY diver reading, quotes a study where divers were tested post dive after following different ascent profiles during recreational dives within the NDL's. What they found was that from varying stops lengths from no stops, one stop of x time, one stop of y time, and stages stops of z time, had dramatically decreasing levels of post-dive bubble formation the longer the divers spent on their safety stops. If you believe that bubbles are a positive indicator of DCS risk (which empirically seems to be the case), then the divers with no stop were more likely to get bent than the x safety stop group. They were more likely to get bent than the y safety stop group, who were more likely to get bent than the staged stop z group.
Ultimately what it tells us is that if you want to lower your risk, even within NDL dives, that a staged ascent profile is the least likely to cause bubbles, which are a positive indicator of DCS, and that a direct ascent with no stop is the most likely to cause bubbles.
So herein lies the rub, if you skip the safety stop, will you get bent? The answer is that we don't know. Maybe, maybe not? It's not something I would want to empirically test, when it's less stressful to just do the stops. IF I had made a direct ascent, I'd take a looooooong SIT and reevaluated before splashing, in which case I'd do a shallow dive well within whatever NDL's I was using.