I would think everyone has a method of planning these things, but I can't seem to pry it out
Ok James, since you're looking for a methodology, I'll throw some stuff up.
Since 1) I don't scooter dive and B) I'm not familiar with Manatee at all, I'm going to make the following assumptions/parameters here:
Flow is negligible, so it will neither impede penetration, or assist with exit speed.
My estimated avg depth for Manatee is ~80'
DPV speed = 200 fpm
CCR setpoint = 1.0
Diluent + Bailout gas = 32%
Deco gas 100%
OC Swimming SAC rate - .7 (this is estimated a little high)
To reach 10k on a DPV @ 200 fpm is going to take 50 minutes. Just for grins, I’ll round this to a solid hour to account for any slow downs, etc that I may encounter along the way.
At max penetration, there is a complete CCR failure necessitating switching to OC bailout. SCR is not an option.
I now have 1 hour on CCR at 1.0 set point.
I’m facing an hour on 32% to exit with an average depth of 80’.
V-planner shows 33 minutes of deco and 176 cft (approx 2 1/4 AL80's) of OC gas without using O2 for this profile.
I’m gonna carry AL80’s, (77 cft actual).
If you want to take potential gauge error into account and discount the last 500 psi, that takes an additional ~13 cft from each tank, giving you 64 cft per tank.
176 cft needed / 64 cft per = 2.75 bottles needed, so that rounds up to 3 AL80's for bailout.
Adding an AL40 of O2 in drops my deco time to around 15 minutes, reduces my Nitrox need to 147 cft.
I need 3 bottles to complete this dive, but I'll add a 4th.
That gives me 256 (64 x 4) cft of 32% which is ~ 100 cft more than I need. This extra gas will take into account the possibility of a "lost gas" scenario.
My personal dive planning would probably actually mean a 5th bottle, just to reduce distance between drops and the chance of lost gas. I would also want to do a setup and cleanup dive to drop and retrieve two of the bottles + O2. The other 2 I'd carry and drop during the dive and the last bottle (5) would stay with me at all times as bailout.
Estimating a DPV failure at max penetration I came up with close to 6.5 hours for exit and deco. Personally, that's cutting my comfort level with scrubber duration wayyy too close. IMO, this dive is not something I'd attempt without carrying two DPV's, but DPV failure procedure is beyond my experience.
Similarly, assuming a LHOTP scenario, a failure of both CCR and DPV at max penetration requires a stupid amount of OC gas required to make a swimming exit, so I'd really have to give some consideration to a backup CCR at that point.
Like I said, this is purely a mental exercise for me because I tend to do shorter penetrations, but just spend more time poking around than trying to do EOL stuff.
Other possibilities I might consider is swapping out my 19cf onboard tanks to larger tanks (30 or 40) and equipping them with regs or adding quick connects to second stages. Doing that could reduce some of my off board bailout needs.
Anyone with more experience planning a dive like James described, feel free to critique my plan.