gedunk:
Not from what i've seen.
In our neck of the woods it was rare to see a dive flag bobbing on the water 25-30 years ago, and we all knew each other when you did. Now you see dive flags all the time and your less likely to know who the divers are. Granted, many of these divers are probably only doing a few dives a year but they are doing the dives.
I bet the same is true of most diving areas. For that reason i have little doubt that many more dives are being done today. The question is how many more?
My guess is the number of dives done has increased steadily each year while the number of diving deaths has shown no appreciable change in either direction.
What, if any, significance this has to the quality of training or lack thereof can be left up to the casual observer to decide but i have little doubt more dives are being done today.
I have no idea how many divers were being done 30 years ago so I won't argue that.
But there's no was that the increase in number of dives is any where near the increase in the number of certified divers.
Like I said before, with the number of divers certified every year you would need a bunch of new resorts each year just to come close to keeping pace.
In the last couple of years I think we've seen resorts closing an there has been a ton of shops that have closed.
The other thing I'll point out is the low percentage of certified divers who become avid or regular divers. It's a very small percentage. For many it's a one shot deal. The get certified, dive on a vacation and they're about done.
What's the ratio of AOW certs or rescue certs to OW certs?
There was one year that only about half of the certs that I issued were OW. The rest were AOW and above. Gary Joice at PADI was real impressed with out continueing ed program until I pointed out how the numbers really shook out. All of those advanced, specialty and rescue certs were issued to a very small number of divers. It's the old break out...90% of the advanced certs are issued to 10% (or less) of the divers. It's the same with dives. most dives are done by a minority of the divers.
After running a shop for 4 years I can tell you that most student are in for OW and you never see them again. Over the years I've run into many of them around town since I still work in the same town and they DO NOT continue diving, at least not on a regular basis. They go on their honymoon or whatever, dive and that's about it. Most are in...and...out with a very small few becomming regular divers and most of those don't stick with it for more than a couple of years.
I'll bet that if we stopped issuing certs for a year the number of dives would plumet to nothing because last years certs aren't diving this year.
I'm not saying that the industry hasn't grown in 30 years I'm saying that the number of dives are fairly flat compare to the number of divers that are certified each year.
We're not training safe divers. We're training divers who don't dive much.